It is almost certain: The French government falls

"The government will fall," said Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leader of the far-left France Invincible (LFI), who echoed similar comments from other parties on the left and right.

The leader of France's far-right National Rally (RN) party in parliament, Marine Le Pen, called yesterday for the dissolution of the Assembly, saying she was ready to make big "sacrifices" to bring her party to power.

Francois Bairro, France's fourth prime minister in three years, faces almost certain defeat in today's confidence vote in parliament, throwing the European Union's second-largest economy into further political uncertainty, according to Reuters.

For the government to fall, it is enough for more than half of the MPs to vote against it.

If Bairro falls, French President Emmanuel Macron will likely face the task of finding another head of government capable of running the budget through parliament, less than a year after the ouster of Bairro's conservative predecessor, Michel Barnier.

After the vote of confidence in Bairro's government, different scenarios are possible - it is unlikely that he will retain his position, and it is possible that there will be a resignation followed by the appointment of a new government, the calling of elections or an extended transitional period, according to French media.

By seeking the confidence of MPs in connection with the financial situation in which the country finds itself, the French prime minister is not only endangering the fate of his government, but also the balance of the five-year mandate already shaken by the dissolution of the assembly in June 2024 and the vote of no confidence in Michel Barnier six months later, concludes the French newspaper "Le Point".