Student
pre 10 godina
(preporuka, 17. avgust 2013 16:49)
Uporedi stopu rasta 2003. koja je iznosila 12.9% i sada koja iznosi 7,5%. Onda napravi projekciju ekspanzije uzimajući u vidu razlike u rastu u poslednje 4 godine i trend ↑-↓ u odnosu na apsolutne brojeve. Probaj.
Hint: 2014.-2015. su između 6% i 6,5% u realnom BND. Dalje možeš da nastaviš sam.
PS. Apsolutni brojevi će verovatno biti revidirani i smanjeni za $1 trilion, što je oko 14% smanjenja bruto dohotka, ekvivalentno veličini ekonomije Južne Koreje ili Meksika. I to je samo početak.
China may be overstating the size of its economy by $1 trillion and has probably been churning out “wilfully fraudulent” inflation and GDP statistics for more than a decade, a new paper has claimed.
The findings, which are described by their author as “conservative”, lead a renewed onslaught of scepticism over official Chinese data and what many believe is an ingrained culture of manipulation.
The new study, by Peking University’s Christopher Balding, poses the question of how badly flawed Chinese economic data might be. The $1 trillion calculation is merely the opening bid in a line of research that may ultimately reveal even worse distortions, he told The Times.
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/business/economics/article3843794.ece
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