Niall O'Doherty
pre 12 godina
My guess for elections is:
DS: 29%-31%
SNS: 29%-31%
SPS: 10%-12%
LDP: 7%-9%
SRS: 5%-6%
DSS: 4%-6%
DS will never work with DSS or SRS. LDP will never form a government with SRS or DSS and prefers DS over SNS. Makes only possible ruling coalition: DS-SPS-LDP
(Berk., 27 March 2012 14:32)
My predictions:
DS - 30
SNS - 33
SPS - 11
DSS - 6
LDP - 8
SRS - 6
Minorities/URS - 6
Coalition Government guaranteed.
A number of options:
DS/SPS/LDP supported by Minorities/URS (highly likely)
SNS/DSS/SRS/SPS (very unlikely)
The key here is how well the LDP and DSS do. If one of these parties score in the 7-8 range, they could very well hold the balance of power. It is looking likely to be the LDP.
Either way, it is shaping up to be a very interesting election. Voter turnout is key. High turnout (+60%) will suit the smaller parties.
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