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pre 17 godina
Dear All
Russia has no need to use its veto. And to all Kosovans believing that a veto would help their case: wake up to the reality of a veto. It means a major rift between superpowers and not a window of opportunity for a nearly 2 million jobless people to celebrate independence.
A.'s plan will be changed and watered down to a point that won't be acceptable to hardline or even moderate Kosovans. (if such a distinction is possible regarding the status question)
[The recent harding of A.'s plan is only a sign of weakness and an attempt to move into a better position. But the end result won't please Kosovan's. Rest assured of that.]
This will trigger the chain of events described by Holbrooke.
But it will remain to be seen if the official U.S. will blame Russia for it. Holbrooke will continue to blame the Russians, of course, since his doings in the Balkans are slowly turning against him. Especially, losing a Kosovan friend.
Kosovo will neither be part of Serbia nor independent for a long time.
Although, eventually, it might receive statehood if Kosovans and Serbs decide on dialogue and cooperation and find a new way of communicating about the past.
But judging Kosovan behavior of the past, it's still very difficult to imagine that happening anytime soon.
The E.U. is well aware of that and equally aware that there will be no united front regarding the question of Kosovo's independence.
Neither Spain, Belgium, Slovaki, Hungary, Romania, Greece, (Macedonia), the U.K. have a great interest to allow border disputes to emerge in Europe.
The sligthest fissure in the E.U. network will be used by Russia to block any independence move.
The only interest the E.U. has is to solve the problem as fast as possible by eschewing any legal framework.
But speed has never helped solving complex problems. And war even less so.
All the Kosovans can hope for is the akward status quo.
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