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(rote, 20 April 2017 20:13)
Austrian historians now write that Gavrilo Princip did not start WW1 since war was already on the agenda; he was only an excuse for it.
The Emperor Franc Josef was keen to attack Serbia. In fact there were plans as early as 1912 to launch war against the Serbs because they feared that slavs could unite under the Serbian banner of a Yugoslavia and that would take away a large part of the Empire. Plus the Austrians were not in favour of Serbs gaining access to the Adriatic Sea because they feared Serbs would give Russia access - sound familiar? London conference of 1912.
Oddly enough Archduke Ferdinand was opposed to any war. He was in favour of some form of Yugoslavism, but under Zagreb’s control.
The Austrian plans involved giving southern Serbia, today’s Macedonia to the Bulgarians, parts of northern Serbia to Romania and Hungary while the leftover Austria would keep and not allow it to develop any industry.
So you see it mattered little whether Princip killed Ferdinand or not because the Austrians would have found another excuse to wage war against the Serbs.
Interestingly, after the assassination, the Austrians sent a very similar worded document to Belgrade to that we know as the Rambouillet Agreement – total surrender or else. How little things change over the years.
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