"Balkans could need new Dayton"

The Balkans needs a new Dayton agreement, says Daniel Serwer of the American Institute for Peace.

Izvor: Veèernje novosti

Saturday, 21.03.2009.

11:04

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The Balkans needs a new Dayton agreement, says Daniel Serwer of the American Institute for Peace. This U.S. analyst told Belgrade's Vecernje Novosti daily that the EU should set constitutional reforms as a condition for Bosnia-Herzegovina to join, while, "unless there is agreement within Bosnia-Herzegovina", the EU and the United States "should start Dayton 2". "Balkans could need new Dayton" The 1992-95 war in Bosnia ended with an accord signed in Dayton, Ohio. The country is organized in two entities: the Bosniak (Muslim)-Croat Bosnian Federation, and the Bosnian Serb Republic of Srpska (RS). Serwer said that he does not believe "a new change of borders in the Balkans" will occur, and believes "either of the entities" would have a hard time gaining international recognition. This U.S. analyst also believes that the appraisal that the Serbs are the chief factor of instability is "unjustified", since Muslim leader Haris Silajdzic, "just as [RS Prime Minister Milorad] Dodik" fairly influenced the polarization in the past few years, "while some Croat politicians advocate a third entity". Serwer said "forget it, there will be no recognition" when asked about "fears that the issue of Vojvodina might be next" in Serbia. He told the newspaper that he expects no changes in U.S. policy toward the Balkans with the Obama administration, since, in his words, "Bosnia and Kosovo remain sovereign countries for America". Serwer views the pressure on Serbia over the issue of Ratko Mladic's arrest as "insufficient", and says Serbia's secret services "need deep reforms".

"Balkans could need new Dayton"

The 1992-95 war in Bosnia ended with an accord signed in Dayton, Ohio. The country is organized in two entities: the Bosniak (Muslim)-Croat Bosnian Federation, and the Bosnian Serb Republic of Srpska (RS).

Serwer said that he does not believe "a new change of borders in the Balkans" will occur, and believes "either of the entities" would have a hard time gaining international recognition.

This U.S. analyst also believes that the appraisal that the Serbs are the chief factor of instability is "unjustified", since Muslim leader Haris Silajdžić, "just as [RS Prime Minister Milorad] Dodik" fairly influenced the polarization in the past few years, "while some Croat politicians advocate a third entity".

Serwer said "forget it, there will be no recognition" when asked about "fears that the issue of Vojvodina might be next" in Serbia.

He told the newspaper that he expects no changes in U.S. policy toward the Balkans with the Obama administration, since, in his words, "Bosnia and Kosovo remain sovereign countries for America".

Serwer views the pressure on Serbia over the issue of Ratko Mladić's arrest as "insufficient", and says Serbia's secret services "need deep reforms".

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