CeSID expects higher turnout in run-off

CeSID CEO Zoran Lučić feels that voter turnout at the upcoming elections will be larger in the second round.

Izvor: Beta

Friday, 11.01.2008.

11:10

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CeSID CEO Zoran Lucic feels that voter turnout at the upcoming elections will be larger in the second round. “Turnout will depend on the quality of the campaign in between the two rounds,” Lucic told Beta. CeSID expects higher turnout in run-off He added that, at the last elections, Serb Radical Party candidate Tomislav Nikolic had managed to mobilize his entire potential support of 1.4 million voters, while President Boris Tadic had, of a potential 2.4 million voters, mobilized only 1.7 million. The Center for Free Elections and Democracy (CeSID) CEO was unable to predict who the supporters of other parties would lend their support to, saying that he did not know whether they would even be called upon to decide. CeSid estimates that there around 5 million active voters in Serbia, even though 6.7 million have the right to vote. Lucic said that over a million of those voters did not reside at their registered addresses and were physically unable to vote, while a further 500,000 were not in the least bit interested in the elections. A CeSID opinion poll last December published today shows that around 40 percent of voters would abstain or would not consider voting if Tadic and Nikolic went through to the second round. Asked who they would vote for in the second round on February 3, 33 percent of voters said Tadic, 27 percent Nikolic, with the former receiving 1.8 million votes and his rival 1.5 million. The poll indicates that the incumbent president will only win if he receives maximum support from his own voters together with those from the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), G17 Plus, the Democratic Party of Serbia and New Serbia. Of the 2.75 million voters that will definitely vote, the SRS candidate can expect to receive 1.15 million votes to the DS candidate’s 1.05 million. New Serbia and Socalist Party of Serbia candidates, Velimir Ilic and Milutin Mrkonjic, can expect to poll about 4 percent each, and LDP leader Cedomir Jovanovic 3 percent, according to the poll.

CeSID expects higher turnout in run-off

He added that, at the last elections, Serb Radical Party candidate Tomislav Nikolić had managed to mobilize his entire potential support of 1.4 million voters, while President Boris Tadić had, of a potential 2.4 million voters, mobilized only 1.7 million.

The Center for Free Elections and Democracy (CeSID) CEO was unable to predict who the supporters of other parties would lend their support to, saying that he did not know whether they would even be called upon to decide.

CeSid estimates that there around 5 million active voters in Serbia, even though 6.7 million have the right to vote.

Lučić said that over a million of those voters did not reside at their registered addresses and were physically unable to vote, while a further 500,000 were not in the least bit interested in the elections.

A CeSID opinion poll last December published today shows that around 40 percent of voters would abstain or would not consider voting if Tadić and Nikolić went through to the second round.

Asked who they would vote for in the second round on February 3, 33 percent of voters said Tadić, 27 percent Nikolić, with the former receiving 1.8 million votes and his rival 1.5 million.

The poll indicates that the incumbent president will only win if he receives maximum support from his own voters together with those from the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), G17 Plus, the Democratic Party of Serbia and New Serbia.

Of the 2.75 million voters that will definitely vote, the SRS candidate can expect to receive 1.15 million votes to the DS candidate’s 1.05 million.

New Serbia and Socalist Party of Serbia candidates, Velimir Ilić and Milutin Mrkonjić, can expect to poll about 4 percent each, and LDP leader Čedomir Jovanović 3 percent, according to the poll.

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